Thursday, September 11, 2008

Palin & Company

Well, McCain certainly hit a hot button with Sarah Palin. She has moved, in the space of a few weeks, from a relative unknown to political center stage. We will know within 60 days whether McCain's decision paid off.

The Democrats still have no real idea what to do in response to Palin's presence. Just about anything they say that's negative or derogatory has a backlash that just harms them. The traditional print and broadcast media are lost when it comes to explaining Palin and her family. They are certainly trying, but her American experience and their American experience might as well be from two different planets.

Palin has appeal to some part of the female vote that McCain didn't have. She and Todd are working together to parent five children, and soon a grandchild, and at the same time have an impact beyond their family. Palin is certainly no wallflower, as evidenced by her pasttimes and her comments at the convention.

She also appeals to the evangelical portion of the Republican party in a way that no one since Reagan has done. While it's mostly unspoken, there is an absolute determination among this base that Obama not be elected, and Palin has become the galvinizing force.

Finally, the Palin's appeal to the Reagan democrats, which in large part were the union members across the rust belt. Don't most guys relish winning some event like Todd Palin has done? They may not say it, but yes, they do.

So, let me make one prediction. The McCain/Palin ticket will win the popular vote by five to ten points, and will take about 350 electoral college votes. You may want to earmark this blog so you can come back and see if I am correct in my predictions.

Until next time...

Randy

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